A great new (for me) magazine: Limes: Rivista Italiana di Geopolitica. Lent me by Paolo Cespa. I've been reading the 11/2015 issue, "La strategia della paura." Extraordinary analysis in the editorial. From what I remember:
- It is important to distinguish terrorism from conventional warfare. Terrorist tactics are usually adopted by parties who feel unequal to conventional forces and powers. The aim there is to create fear and panic, which yields (1) publicity for the cause, (2) recruits, (3) legitimation.
- By reacting wildly, Hollande and the Western media in general are playing right into the hands of the ISIS. Much better the reaction of Renzi, and in some way Obama's refusal to magnify the situation. In many ways, the attack is on the Western way of life. Already the effects of the attack are visible: Schengen is crumbling, so is European unity; also its culture of democracy and tolerance. The far Right is gaining. All this is useful for those who really want to paint and promote the picture of a "Christian West" that is against Islam.
- It is important to ask who is 'behind' the ISIS. Certainly Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait; surprising to learn, also and principally Turkey.
- It would seem also that ISIS is the creature of the US and its "friends and allies" (probably some of the above-mentioned), now become Frankenstein.
- Iran seems to be the only country really and earnestly seeking to contain the spread of the ISIS.
- And Turkey is schemingly using the ISIS against Kurdish independence movements.
Independently, we need to situate the fact that Israel is practically never mentioned by the ISIS, and that, when Netanyahu went to the US, he insisted that the real enemy was Iran.